SO HOW EXPLOSIVE DO I HAVE TO BE TO MAKE ROYALE?
Hey, I’m glad you asked! I went ahead and pulled our Royale cabooses data together and from that created this typical profile:
# Boards: 11
# Tops (percent): 2 (20%)
# Good scores (percent): 1 (11%)
# Great scores (percent): 0.43 (5%)
Pretty simple formula, top a couple boards, with one being a good top. A great top is nice and probably pushes you further up than the 7 seed.
BUT WHAT IF I’VE GOT BIG DREAMS?
Ah, yes, Herm Edwards, you do play to win the league. After looking over our league, 150 points will win you the league more often than not. So we took a look at individual seasons where players hit 150+ and created a typical profile:
# Boards: 19
# Tops (percent): 4.5 (23%)
# Good scores (percent): 3.88 (21%)
# Great scores (percent): 2.38 (12.5%)
Interesting change here -- about 4 good scores, including at least a couple great ones.
THAT’S A LOT OF NUMBERS THAT I MAY OR MAY NOT WANT TO ANALYZE. WHAT’S THE SHORT WAY OF TELLING A CABOOSEY FROM A TOPPY?
- Winners show up. Toppy plays twice as often. You play to win the game, but you have to play to win, ya know?
- Toppy and Caboosey top at about the same rate. 23% vs 19% is really not that meaningful of a difference.
- But winners win biglier. Twice as likely to hit a good score, 2.5 times as likely to get a great score.
BUT HOW DOES ONE SCORE BIGLIER? DO I TAKE MORE RISKS? WHAT DOES THIS MEAN, OLD WEASEL?
Whoa, cool your jets dude. We’ll cover that in part 3.
UGH FINE I’LL WAIT. ARE THERE SEASONS I CAN LOOK AT / TRY TO EMULATE IN THE MEANTIME?
Sure, rookie Weasel alter-ego. Here are your three most explosive seasons of Modern Weasel History.
- YEARGIN 2011. 201 points. 5.5 tops in 15 boards (37%). 6 good games (40%), 3 great games (20%).
- TROTTA 2017. 188 points. 5.5 tops in 18 games (31%). 4 good games (22%), 3 great games (17%).
- O’KELLEY 2012. 154 points. 3.5 tops in 14 boards (25%). 3 good games (21%), 2 great games (14%).
Damn, Peter Yeargin.